China's Inflation Quickens to Fastest in 11 Years; Pace Is 7.1% http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...&refer=homeBy Nipa Piboontanasawat
February 18, 2008 21:04 EST
Feb. 19 (Bloomberg) -- China's inflation accelerated to the quickest pace in more than 11 years after the worst snowstorms in half a century disrupted food supplies.
Consumer prices rose 7.1 percent in January from a year earlier, the statistics bureau said today, after gaining 6.5 percent in December. That was more than the 7 percent median estimate of 23 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.
Accelerating inflation adds to evidence the world's fastest-growing major economy is at risk of overheating, after the trade surplus rose more than forecast in January and money supply grew at the quickest pace in 20 months. The central bank may refrain from raising interest rates as it assesses weakening U.S. demand for exports and the blizzards' toll on production.
``Despite the first-quarter surge in inflation, we expect interest rates to be kept on hold this year,'' said Sun Mingchun, an economist at Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in Hong Kong. ``If China's economy slows too much, many problems will appear -- overcapacity, falling company profits and rising unemployment.''
Currency gains and curbs on bank lending may be favored this year as tools to curb inflation, according to Sun. The government has also imposed price controls for food and energy.
Central banks across Asia face the choice of tackling slowing growth or rising inflation. Lehman last week cut its forecast for 2008 growth in the region, excluding Japan, to 7.3 percent from 7.6 percent and raised its inflation estimate to 4.6 percent from 4.2 percent.
Trade Gap
China's economy, the world's fourth largest, may grow 10 percent this year, according to the International Monetary Fund, down from 11.4 percent in 2007, as export growth weakens.
The financial system is flooded with cash from record trade surpluses, threatening to stoke inflation that has soared since last year on food and fuel. The surplus jumped 23 percent in January from a year earlier to $19.5 billion. Money supply rose 18.9 percent.
Snowstorms from mid-January closed factories and boosted prices by destroying crops and disrupting deliveries.
Accelerating producer prices show pressure for inflation to stay high. Producer prices, the cost of goods as they leave the factory, jumped 6.1 percent in January, the biggest gain in more than three years, on oil and raw materials.
So far, the government is letting the yuan gain at a faster pace versus the dollar than it did last year. The currency has climbed nearly 2 percent after rising 7 percent in 2007. A stronger currency would push up the price of exports and make imports cheaper.
Borrowing Costs
Economists expect the government to keep raising banks' reserve requirements, a Bloomberg News survey last month showed. The central bank has ordered lenders to set aside more deposits as reserves on 11 occasions since the start of last year, pushing the ratio to 15 percent, the highest ever.
Economists are split on whether interest rates will rise this year after six increases in 2007, the survey showed.
The government needs to prevent rising prices triggering social unrest in a nation where, according to the World Bank, 300 million people live in poverty.
Work starts on nuclear power planthttp://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2008-02...ent_6465565.htmBy Hu Meidong and Wan Zhihong (China Daily)
Updated: 2008-02-19 09:00
Construction of the Ningde nuclear power station began in Fujian province Monday.
The 51.2-billion-yuan ($7.1 billion) Phase 1 plant is being built on three islands in the village of Beiwan in Fuding, 143 km north of Fuzhou. Subsequent phases will cost around 450 billion yuan ($62.7 billion).

A computer image of how the nuclear power station will look. Inset: Construction of the project started on February 18, 2008. [China Daily]
The first phase of the project comprises the construction of four nuclear reactors, each with a capacity of 1,000 megawatts (MW). The plant will use the same technology as the existing nuclear facility in Ling Ao, the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) said Monday.
The first reactor is expected to be put into commercial use at the end of 2012. Once completed, the four reactors will generate 30 billion kWh of electricity a year, the NDRC said.
The China Guangdong Nuclear Power Group, Datang International Power Generation Co and Fujian Coal Industry Group are jointly funding the project.
Zhang Guobao, NDRC vice-minister, said the Ningde power station will significantly ease the strain on energy supply in the southeastern coastal area, as well as aid environmental protection efforts in the region.
It will also provide a huge boost to the economy of the province, he said.
In addition to the Ningde project, other nuclear power stations are planned for Fujian.The country's largest nuclear power company, China National Nuclear Corp, has planned six 1,000-MW reactors for its Fuqing project in the province.
Also, China Guodian Corp, one of the nation's top five power producers, has launched its first nuclear project in Fujian. Guodian has set up a division to work on the project in the coastal city of Zhangzhou, a source from the company told China Daily.
However, the Guodian project is still at an early stage and has not yet received government approval, the source said.
As the world's second-largest energy consumer, China is looking more to nuclear power for a balanced energy mix. According to official figures, nuclear power is now the third largest power source in the country.
The 11 nuclear reactors currently in operation have a combined capacity of about 8,000 MW, and last year generated 62.86 billion kWh, up more than 14 percent on 2006, the Commission of Science Technology and Industry for National Defense said.
However, nuclear power still accounts for less than 2 percent of the country's total output. The NDRC said it wants to boost this figure to 4 percent by 2020.
Han Wenke from the Energy Research Institute under the NDRC, said: "China has seen a transition in its nuclear power industry from appropriate development to accelerated development."