Pakistani Power Struggle Bogs Down Economy, Stocks Bloomberg - 30 May 2008
LinkPakistan's three-way power struggle between President Pervez Musharraf and the largest political parties has slowed the response to food shortages and spiraling inflation, triggering the biggest stock plunge in eight years.
``Musharraf has to go,'' Farhatullah Babar, spokesman for the Pakistan Peoples Party, the main group in the coalition government, said in a phone interview today. ``It is his choice whether he wants to go in a dignified manner, or wishes to be impeached.''
Musharraf denied a report he would resign in a television appearance last night, blaming the speculation on ``a malicious campaign to create uncertainty.'' The dispute threatens to hamper efforts to combat terrorism and improve living standards for the nation's 163 million people, half of whom can no longer afford sufficient food, according to the United Nations.
``If this remains unaddressed, it could lead to real instability in coming months,'' said Talat Masood, a retired general who works as an independent consultant in Islamabad.
The Bush administration has called Musharraf its key ally in the battle against Pakistan-based militants of al-Qaeda and the Taliban. The U.S. has encouraged Pakistan's main parties, led by former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, ousted in a 1999 coup by Musharraf, and Asif Ali Zardari, to keep him in office even after their victory in parliamentary elections in February.
Rudderless Government Pakistan's key stock index has tumbled 23 percent this month, the biggest decline among 89 global benchmarks tracked by Bloomberg. Brokerage officials flew to Islamabad this week to urge the coalition to take action to restore confidence and about 100 investors and brokers gathered outside the Karachi Stock Exchange yesterday, shouting anti-government slogans.
The sense of rudderless government has put the Karachi Stock Exchange 100 index on course for its biggest monthly decline since May 2000. The central bank stepped in on May 23, raising its benchmark interest rate to tame inflation at a 25- year high.
``There is the perception that nobody is actually in command to address the real issues and take the country forward,'' said Habib-ur-Rehman, chief executive of Atlas Asset Management Co. in Karachi.
The equity benchmark dropped as much as 2.6 percent to a nine-month low this morning before recovering. The index gained 1.4 percent to 12,401.53 at 2:45 p.m. as some investors judged the recent decline as excessive and brokers ended their protest outside the exchange.
Economy Blossomed Pakistan's economy has blossomed during Musharraf's years in office, reaching an average annual growth rate of 7.5 percent over the past four years. Foreign investment reached a record $8.4 billion in the year ended June 30.
The government predicts growth will slow to 6 percent this fiscal year, after 14 months of political turmoil since Musharraf's attempt to sideline the chief justice in March 2007.
International rating companies -- Standard and Poor's and Moody's Investors Service -- downgraded Pakistan's government bonds for the first time in nine years. ``Investors' confidence has declined and capital flight has started,'' said Rehman, who manages the equivalent of $80 million in stocks and bonds.
Musharraf resigned in November from his most powerful post, commanding general of the army. His chosen successor, Ashfaq Parvez Kayani, has pulled the army back from politics, withdrawing officers from civilian government posts and ordering them to avoid involvement with politicians.
Speculation that Musharraf would resign arose yesterday after an English-language daily, the News, suggested that Kayani had pushed Musharraf to quit during a meeting the previous night. Musharraf denied yesterday that any divisions had arisen between himself and Kayani.
Clinging On Musharraf's attempts to cling on to power were bolstered this month when the governing coalition started to unravel because of a dispute over judges. The president had sacked the justices last November because they were preparing legal challenges to his tenure.
Zardari's Pakistan Peoples Party last week proposed a constitutional amendment to strip Musharraf's most important remaining powers, the ability to dissolve parliament and appoint military service chiefs.
Support from Sharif's Pakistan Muslim League would ensure the two-thirds majority required to pass the amendment in the National Assembly. The debate would then move to the Senate where he'd need defections among Musharraf loyalists to make it law.
Term Limits The Muslim League, which withdrew its cabinet ministers on March 13 because of the judicial dispute, will meet today to discuss Zardari's proposals. A key sticking point may be conditions that would weaken the restored judges, including a term limit for the chief justice.
Zardari, whose wife Benazir Bhutto was assassinated in December, spent eight years in prison under Sharif and Musharraf on what he says were politically motivated corruption charges. Musharraf canceled further prosecution against Zardari last year as part of negotiations that persuaded the then PPP leader Bhutto to return to Pakistan where she was killed after an election rally.
Sharif opposes restrictions on restored judges because his party won votes in February by promising unconditional reinstatement. The party feels it will lose support in future elections if it backs away now, said Muhammad Mehdi, a Muslim League coordinator on foreign affairs.
The two parties seem closer to agreement on the president's future. Zardari last week joined Sharif's call for Musharraf to step down, calling him ``a relic of the past.''
``If he resigns voluntarily, it is good for everyone,'' said Babar of the Peoples Party. Otherwise, ``he will be kicked out.''
-- Editors: Bill Austin, Stephen Foxwell
To contact the reporter on this story: James Rupert in Islamabad at jrupert3@bloomberg.net.
Last Updated: May 30, 2008 05:58 EDT
Pakistan stock index falls to 14-month low amid Musharraf resignation rumors, economic woesThe Associated PressPublished:
May 31, 2008
LinkKARACHI, Pakistan: Pakistani stocks have fallen to their lowest level in almost 14 months as swirling talk that President Pervez Musharraf will resign adds to concern about the country's economy.
Thursday morning, the Karachi Stock Exchange's 100-share index fell 4.2 percent to 11,742.83. The index hasn't touched that level since early April, 2007.
The plunge followed a report in a Pakistani newspaper — quickly denied by Musharraf's spokesman — that the president has decided to quit.
Atif Malik, head of research at JA Global Securities, said, "The political uncertainty and the media assertions about the President's resignation gave investors the jitters."
The benchmark index has lost about 25 percent from a record high in April.